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Slate · Tonight · 15 games

Predict every home run
before the first pitch.

DingerAI fuses Statcast, weather, park factors, splits, and bullpen modeling into a calibrated ensemble — XGBoost · LightGBM · CatBoost · Bayesian — running 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations per slate.

Ensemble Model · v4.2live
Models
XGB · LGBM · CatBoost · NN · Bayes
Sims today
52,310 / batter
Calibration · Brier score
0.142↓ 6.2% wk
Top HR Prob
31.4%
Aaron Judge vs SEA
Slate Avg HR%
18.2%
+1.4% vs season
Model Accuracy 14d
24.7%
vs 18% baseline
Wind-Boosted Parks
4
Wrigley · Citizens · Coors · GABP
+EV Plays Found
11
Edge ≥ +8% vs market

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